Clock & envelopeflip ≤60m · range 60m
Awaiting data
Range next 60m—
Range decile—
Successor side—
Direction edgenone (coin)
The ruler now reacts to a volatility shock immediately (fast-up, slow-down)
and the rung is locked when the leg is born, so “To flip” can only fall
as price retraces — it can never move away from you mid-leg. Card 03 decides which
head is authoritative and dims the other. Neither predicts direction.
Runway leftclosed form · ρ 0.364
Awaiting data
New extreme first—
Another ½σ hour—
Quartile band—
vs 1σ hour—
Not a model — a formula. For a driftless walk under a
trailing stop, three numbers you already have (To flip, Retrace, Rung) give the whole
distribution of remaining travel. Tested against LightGBM on 552,271 rows: the formula
matched it (ρ 0.364 vs 0.359), so geometry is the ceiling. Median and the 25–75
band are well calibrated; the far-low tail reads slightly optimistic.